What The Heck Is Brunner Doing?

Once again Jennifer Brunner has stated that’s she’s in the Senate race to stay, but I think this time around it may backfire.

Earlier in her campaign, people really were wondering if Brunner would stick with this race and she did need to address it then. She did, and even found at least one candidate to replace her as Secretary of State. The issue was handled and it faded into the background until now, when she brought it back up.

How long has it been since you last heard anyone suggest that she wasn’t putting everything into this race? I mean just today a poll was released that showed Brunner nearly tied with Lee Fisher in this race.

So one has to ask, why are they putting this issue back in the spotlight when it clearly seems time for her campaign to move past this? What do they have to be defensive about? All I know is that after this, I certainly don’t have high expectations for her campaigns fundraising numbers last quarter. But then I’ve also noticed that the Fisher campaign doesn’t seem as eager to leak their numbers this time around.

Even if there is no bad news coming, what are people going to think when they see headlines like “Brunner: “I am in this race to stay” again? By defending against those old claims, she’s brought the original concerns front and center.

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Brunner's days are numbered

While I greatly prefer Brunner over Fisher, it's only a matter of time before Brunner drops out of the Senate primary race. I don't think that's much of a prediction at this point.

Not so sure...

If Brunner continued to raise over $200k this quarter, she's on pace to raise over $1 million for the primary. That's enough for her to run a competitive primary. Also, your comment points out why David's criticism about this statement is off-base. Even though Brunner has proclaimed her intent to stay in this race for the long haul, there are people like you that are writing it off after only three months. So, it's an issue that continues to plague her campaign.

I don't like Fisher, but I'm a realist

Even though Brunner has proclaimed her intent to stay in this race for the long haul, there are people like you that are writing it off after only three months.

Honestly, I'm not really concerned one way or another what Brunner says about it.  Of course she's going to say she's still in.  She, like everyone else in her position who's come before, will say she's in it right up to the moment she drops out.

Fisher has the name recognition.  Fisher has the money & it will continue to roll in.  He's racking up solid endorsements. 

Many Ohio bloggers might not like it.  Many younger voters might not like it.  But they aren't the kingmakers among Ohio's Democrats.

Like I said before, I prefer Brunner.  I don't like Fisher & won't vote for him.  But I'm also a realist & am not new to this.

David, you're missing the real news Brunner is doing here

These are the most negative comments Brunner has made referring to Lee yet:

  • She discounts the money race issue: "Public service for me has never been about the money. I know I must raise it. I always have, deliberately, steadily and having enough in the end to get the votes I need to win. For me, public service at its essence is about standing up for the kinds of things we as Democrats believe in and taking the fight of my fellow Ohioans to Columbus or Washington or wherever I can best help people in need."
  • She attacks Fisher's rationale for his candidacy: "I’m not running for the Senate because I believe it would be a fitting end to my career. I do not care about self-aggrandizement. I care about people. Like our newest and hard-working Senator, Sherrod Brown, I believe a Senator has to walk into the Senate with a series of core values from which she will not waver. "
  • She attacks Lee Fisher's flip-flop on GLBT issues: "I did not just convert to support marriage equality; I have been there for a long time. It is because I know who I am and where I come from that I know public service means promoting fairness, equality and respect for all people. And it means pushing for those core values in our government’s policies, both here and abroad.
  • She criticizes the Strickland/Fisher budget: "And I vigorously oppose draconian cuts in state or federal funding that deprive the middle class of tools to achievement such as libraries.  I vigorously oppose cuts in state or federal funding that dangerously fray the safety net, particularly cuts in substance abuse and mental health funding, services for older Ohioans and daycare for working-class moms—precisely at a time when we should be poised to successfully launch the next generation into a more technological and global economy."
  • She attacks Fisher's cred as a true progressive: "If this race for the U.S. Senate is about the trappings of insider politics, then I suspect Lee Fisher will be your man. But if Ohio’s Democratic faithful are willing to look toward a new way that is really nothing more than the old way of the Golden Rule, then Jennifer Brunner will be the first woman from Ohio to be both nominated and elected to the U.S. Senate."

You're focusing too much on the media narrative that you're missing the larger point Brunner is making.  She's attempting to define the race and the differences between her and Fisher as candidates.

Given the latest Quinny poll showing a majority of voters simply aren't engaged in this race, Brunner and Fisher both are going to sound repetative to break through the apathy right now.

But this statement by Brunner shows me that they realize that Lee Fisher's biggest strength-- being tied to the hip of Governor Strickland-- is not as strong as it was and may become a liability for Fisher because he can be tied to the unpopular cuts that Strickland has been forced to do in order to balance the budget.

By distancing herself from Strickland, she's able to use that economic lodestone I've been talking and say, "Look, Democrats, Rob Portman is going to make Lee Fisher eat the economy and these budget cuts.  I'm the only alternative that can stop that from happening."

It's a pretty shrewd political move, even though I don't care for the public intra-party criticism.

You And I Both Know That Intentions Mean Nothing...

Compared to the results.

I got Brunner's criticisms aimed at Lee, but the staying in the race part (the "media narrative") is what's going to get to the eyes and ears of voters.

And even if you take in the post as a whole, the message still boils down to a defense of her campaign. This is, in large part, due to the fact that she did raise the issue about the possibility the she would drop out after it stopped being a big issue.

I think Nick just proved why

It's a pre-emptive strike against the media that wants to define this race as solely being about the money race.

Look, we all know that Lee can raise money, he's always been able to.  But he hasn't always been able to win elections despite his impressive fundraising abilities.

Nobody, not Nick, nobody has explained to me how Lee Fisher is better suited to beat Rob Portman in 2010 than he was when he lost to Bob Taft in 1998.

With Obama, Strickland, and Fisher's numbers dropping due to the economy, I think Brunner is signaling that she sees an opening, but it's going to take time.

If she's close to having $500k on hand, she's fine.  She's more than on pace to raise the money she needs to run a full and competitive primary campaign.  Stop feeding the media narrative if you think there's something else that should be in the eyes and ears of voters.  It's a defense of her campaign by explaining why her campaign is the better message for the Democratic Party... hardly a stunning thing for a candidate to do.  I'm sure that you wouldn't spin a Fisher piece as being so defensive in nature.  Frankly, I see it as Brunner taking the offensive to frame the race to being more important than FEC numbers, but issues.  It's smart messaging for her.

I've never seen a blogger criticize a candidate by parroting the media narrative, while ignoring the larger point and then say the larger point isn't important because it doesn't fit the media narrative, David.  Your last comment is just bizarre.

People come here because they WANT an alternative to the media narrative.  That's what I've always been about.

Not Really

I never implied that the rest didn't matter at all. But like or not, it's the media narrative that reaches the masses. A boatload of people are going to see headlines about this and wonder if it means there's still credible questions about whether she's really committed to this race or not. After all, why would she bring it up if it wasn't an issue?

And before you say it again, of course Fisher's supporters and Brunner's enemies will be pushing that message, but that's mostly irrelevant. I'm talking about the vast majority that's barely paying any attention at all to the election at this point. You know, the people that AREN'T looking for an alternative o the media narrative.

And finally, where have I said Fisher was the better candidate? You know me well enough to know that I'm not touching that argument.

My only points were:

  • A.) Brunner raised an issue that she should have moved past by now.
  • B.) They're probably bracing for bad news. Given the timing, it's likely poor fundraising.

Joe Hallett didn't get the memo, David

Apparently, Columbus Dispatch Senior Editor Joe Hallett didn't buy that the media narrative you thought they were saying.  He apparently took Brunner's post exactly as I did.  As Brunner taking the offensive on framing the race by define her candidacy versus Fisher's.

The more you try to defend your position makes less sense.  You criticize Brunner for still defending her candidacy while acknowledging that Fisher's supporters and Brunner's critics haven't backed off in pushing the message that she should drop out.  How that last point is "irrelevant" to why Brunner said what she said makes absolutely no sense to me.

If people weren't still arguing loudly that Brunner shouldn't be running, then her continuing to justify her campaign wouldn't make sense.  But the fact that there's still a push to suggest she's not a legitimate candidate is an obvious reason why she might being having more trouble raising money as Fisher.

Instead of throwing up your hands that you don't have a megaphone to compete against the non-existent media narrative's interpretation of Brunner's statement, you'd think as a blogger that you wouldn't, at least, perpetuate that narrative. 

Or at least wait to see what the media says before you criticize a candidate for feeding a media narrative that actually doesn't exist.

Oh Modern

What I was saying is that she's letting the two groups that won't vote for her dictate her campaign. She needs to move past them and marginalize their whining, not place it front and center.

By the way, notice that link in the post? I did wait to see what the media would say. And that's what many of them did say.

But let's just say for a moment that everything about the post is just as you claim. Forget defending her campaign, lets say this was purely an aggressive offensive shot at Lee. Why now? What's changed? She was already polling at a near tie to him weeks ago, so why didn't she do it then?

thanks for posting this

i avoid the MSM like i avoid the plague and i don't feel like i'm missing anything; but i also have to admit to not following this primary very closely except for what's posted on a couple of blogs and scattershot mainstream info that slips thru my filters.

so when i read statements from brunner such as you posted here, modern, i can say with a fair amount of certainty that she'll be getting my vote in the senate primary.

From Mark Naymik

This may violate Connie Schultz' one sentence and a link rule, but it's the first speculation about 2Q fundraising numbers that I've heard:

Brunner's post is clearly timed to counter soon-to-be-released campaign finance reports that will show Fisher with a wide financial lead over Brunner. Fisher is expected to have raised close to $900,000 in the second quarter. He raised just over $1 million in the first quarter compared to Brunner's $200,000.

Nick D. Unbiased Journalist

Nick those comments would mean something if we hadn't learned you are a shill Lee Fisher for U.S. Senate campaign.

I bet your a movie buff because a Democrat winning Republican George Voinovich's Senate seat, while Democrats are taking hits for the economy, requires a suspension of disbelief, on the level of watching a John Woo film.

Poll: Ohioans souring on Obama
FYI -That means Ohioans are souring on DEMOCRATS too.

How much money Fisher can raise doesn't mean anything unless he is prepared to at least spend 2 times what a Republican will.

"Cleveland-area auto dealer Tom Ganley will announce his Republican candidacy for the U.S. Senate today. A millionaire, Ganley indicated that he is willing to spend a considerable chunk of his fortune to win the GOP nomination against Portman. "The campaign will be well-funded," Ganley said. "It will be very well-funded."

The Republicans will not let this seat go without a fight and with the economy tanking in Ohio so who will be donating money to Brunner or Fisher? 

Contributing money to Lee Fisher is throwing it away because Lee Fisher is an established statewide loser against Republicans. 

Here is the "news" young fella, OH Sen: Brunner Slams "Insiders" Pushing Her To Quit If this race for the U.S. Senate is about the trappings of insider politics, then I suspect Lee Fisher will be your man. But if Ohio's Democratic faithful are willing to look toward a new way that is really nothing more than the old way of the Golden Rule, then Jennifer Brunner will be the first woman from Ohio to be both nominated and elected to the U.S. Senate.

Lee might be able to out raise Brunner based on his established experience but money raised by Lee Fisher will be as good as extorted from supporters he applies political pressure to, or makes campaign promises to, and that isn't right for Ohio. 

I thought I was supposed to be the over-thinker