Rasmussen Poll Shows Portman Ahead By 4: More Evidence The Race Is Tied


Nick D - Posted on 02 July 2010

The Dispatch (R-Columbus) is reporting that a Rasmussen poll on the Ohio Senate race has Rob Portman up by 4 on Lee Fisher.

This is more evidence that the race is tied as far as I’m concerned. How can I say that? Because Nate Silver, the mathematical whiz kid who runs FiveThirtyEight.com is assigning Rasmussen a GOP leaning “House Effect” of 4.5 points for polls done thus far in 2010. So, if a generic Rasmussen poll puts a GOPer up 4.5 points, but Portman is only up 4 points, basically that means that this poll has Fisher ahead by about a half a point. The race is essentially tied.

Of course, after Ohioans learn more about how Rob Portman was Bush’s trade advisor and budget director, I don’t expect the race will stay tied long after that.

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You libs have been saying - I mean screaming - this talking point since Portman became the nominee. I guess, so far, Ohioans would rather have a former member of the Bush Administration than some Obama tool.
[link]http://politicaloutcast.wordpress.com/[/link]
Most of the polling shows Fisher marginally ahead or tied, and voters seem to know Fisher better than Portman. Hell, even Republicans think they know Fisher better than they do Portman. PPP poll shows that Portman is vulnerable for being the D.C. insider he is. Pointing his resume out is hardly screaming. Nor has anything we in the progressive blosphere been doing in this race could be considered screaming except for Brunner. A review of the blogsphere, instead showa wide bipartisan disinterest in writing about the race at all, instead.

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