Ramussen Reports: Five Point Race
Yet another poll out today, this time showing one of the closest margins in Ohio for the two campaigns that we've yet to see.
862 LV, conduted on Feb. 25, +/- 3%.
Two weeks ago Hillary Clinton was up by 14 points in this poll. Regardless of whether she wins the state, she needs to carry Ohio by at least 60% to put her in a position to get anything worthwhile out of the delegate count. It's near certain at this point that she will be unable to accomplish that.
Also, Obama is trending in favorability, while Clinton lost four points from her favorability tally over the last week. Most interesting though is this:
By a 53% to 14% margin, voters believe that Obama opposes NAFTA while there are mixed perceptions on where Clinton stands. Thirty-five percent (35%) believe she favors NAFTA, 31% believe she opposes it and 34% are not sure. This issue is critical in a state that has lost thousands of manufacturing jobs. Politically, these lower-income voters have generally supportive of Clinton throughout the primary season.
It appears that in the end NAFTA really may make or break this race.