OH-3 Roundup
I put an inquiry into the former Studebaker campaign, and they have confirmed that today they officially filed paperwork with the respective board of elections to remove Studebaker's name from the ballot. Studebaker's withdrawal from the OH-3 race today sets the stage for a Democratic Primary special election. The date for this primary will be announced soon.
Having formerly worked on the OH-3 race for 6 months, I know the numbers of the district. Regardless of whether anyone was sold on a Studebaker campaign before, the district is competitive. Mitakides and Carne, the '04 and '02 candidates,
If Quill runs, then the Democratic Party would have to drop its legal challenge to Joy Padgett.
We need to contact Reid and Schumer and try to convince them to call up Hackett and beg him to run. Hackett is our only realistic chance of picking up this seat at this point in the race.
Contact Sen. Reid: http://reid.senate.gov/contact/offices.cfm
Contact Sen. Schumer: http://www.senate.gov/~schumer/SchumerWebsite/contact/contact.html
Give me a reason why the Montgomery County Prosecutor can't win first, at least. Hackett has said he isn't running, especially in a district he doesn't live in.
Maybe other candidates have a slight chance, but Hackett is easily the best candidate right now. I live in Dayton, and Hackett has great name recognition in the district.
I also doubt that he'll change his mind and run. However, I also thought Hackett would never endorse Sherrod.
Maybe Paul is disappointed with what Reid and Schumer did to him in the Senate race. If the call him up, apologize and offer to help, maybe he'll change his mind.
seeing as I suppose I'm partially responsible for the whole "Hackett said he wouldn't do it" meme, I should clarify a couple of things. He did not say "especially in a district he doesn't live in." He did say. "unless I win the lottery."
It's a money issue folks...
BBBBBBAAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAAAAAAAAAA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
From the Dayton Daily News:
No word on the County Prosecutor.
Jim Parker.
I'm a big Doug Mann fan. Young, fairly good looking, and he can buy it...
He has a great presence and there have been commercials featuring him and his family on local TV for years. I've known of the family for years because my son went to school with his son. I would be happy to continue volunteering for this campaign with him as a candidate.
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Not everything I say has anything to do with a campaign. This here opinion is pure that of my caffeine addled mind, and does not in anyway reflect the opinions of the campaign I represent.
Jane Mitakides is the candidate to beat in this race. She knows the district, has labor support, national party support, money, a built in organization, and garnered 40%+ against Turner before. Trust me, she can hit the ground faster than any other replacement nominee and make this seat a tossup.
Tony Hall has said no, as has Paul Hackett. Lets not fumble this one!
Staff, lets just be real for a minute. In 3 of the 4 counties that make up CD-3, Kerry had NO organization and Mitakides outran Kerry. And that "pathetic" 37% can be turned very easily.
Mitakides has one thing none of the other candidates have - the ability to step in and run right now. Lieberman is not as well known in the district and it will take her time to get up and running. Also, there would be charges of nepotism, because of who her husband is and what he does. Carne is a registered lobbyist who is in D.C. Do you realize how much damage that could do to Strickland and Brown?
We need a ready-made nominee and the fact is, Jane Mitakides is that candidate. She can be and I am willing to bet be the Melissa Bean of Ohio 3!
Jane Mitakides is from the district. She knows the people and she earned the right to run again.
Paul Hackett is a great guy but he doesn't want to run. Tony Hall does not want to run either, nor does McLin.
The three possible candidates right now are Mitakides, Lieberman, and Carne. Of those three, Mitakides is ready to roll.
How would you like to know we lost a chance at recapturing the House and it came down to Ohio CD-3 with an inexperienced, ill-prepared, or lackluster nominee other than Mitakides?
Back in November she announced she was interested in the state party chair's race, but she promptly dropped out and threw her support to Redfern. Not a bad move to try and build name rec. and friends.
Also, her daughter was actively working on fundraising for a state rep. candidate earlier in the year...helpful skill to have for the future.
However, Mitakides hasn't been around any of the county parties in the Third District this year...making it doubtful that she was angling for anything anytime soon. In the past year I've seen Carne more than her.
Stephanie, I hope you would consider Jane Mitakides. She's supports choice, supports equality, and supports working families. Most of all, she can have across the board appeal, due to her ties to the strategic communications arena and her "A" rating from the NRA. She is a consensus choice.
Most of all, she can be more than just a sacrificial candidate, but someone who is viable, well-liked, and a winning candidate.
I think Turner would beat her like he did last time.
This spin is obviously inspired by scared Republicans or some other candidate who has a lot of talk. You say Mitakides underperformed. She ran in a district, without support from the National Party, in three counties where there was NO Kerry or party infastructure. We also know that the order of preference for the 2004 race was focusing on Debbie Lieberman for County Commission first, John Kerry second, and Jane Mitakides last.
But these same arguments were used against Melissa Bean in Illinois and Stephanie Herseth in South Dakota. They won however when they had party support.
Tony Hall doesn't want to go back to Congress. He's been there and done that. He's making money and is happy where he is at.
Why does Carne want to come back? Carne is a DC Lobbyist and that is what would hurt Strickland and Brown's image.
But tell me another potential nominee who has access to national party funding, personal funds, a staff familiar with the district, a candidate with an organization leftover in every county, an understanding of the opponent, and who cuts across all areas of support better than Mitakides?
Mitakides is the candidate we should unite behind. She ran without party support last time and did well. If we unite behind her, she will draw out core Democratic Party voters, as well as force the Republicans to defend ANOTHER House District that they had not previously planned to fight for.
What staff does Mitakides have access to that the rest of the potential candidates don't have access to?
You know something I don't ClarkDem?
Jerid are you a Republican or something? To answer your question, much of Mitakides 2004 staff has offered to come back. I know of a national consulting firms that has consistently beat Republican incumbents talking to her.
Why attack a good Democrat? Our party is about showcasing the best and the brightest. But our party is also about winning. Why are you attacking a good Democrat?
Lets talk reality - state your candidate and their strengths. Not intangibles such as former service, or why they underperformed, or their personality.
I help good Democrats get elected for a living. Lets talk turkey and lets keep this dialogue positive. I have not personally attacked any of the other Democrats, so why are you?
We're glad to have your imput here!
If Jane Mitakides is the nominee she'll beat Mike Turner.
So here's my bet....if she is the nominee and loses to Turner, I'll buy you a drink of your choice in Dayton or Columbus.
If Jane wins, you come to the Election Night party and buy me a drink.
DEAL?
I may have come across as a jackass to some of you, I am not really. I am intent on helping good, progressive Democrats win as well as I am intensely loyal to my friends.
BTW....I look forward to a nice rum and Ginger Ale to celebrate a much needed win.
Mike Turner is a VERY strong Republican candidate because he is a very smart Republican candidate. You aren't going to get any cowards cut and run boners like Schmidt. Turner has worked very hard to keep his name out of the press as much as possible. His game plan for victory will be to simply ignore his opponent and run some touchy feely ads shortly before Election Day. If I was betting I'd give the point spread at 10 points in his favor.
Go stand on his lawn.
I'm serious.